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14 Apr 2020

Opec+ Plans to Cut Output by 20mn bpd: Trump

14 Apr 2020  by O&Glinks   

Top global oil producers are considering slashing output by 20mn barrels a day under the terms of a deal to boost prices, US President Donald Trump said on Monday.

Trump’s tweet came after Opec producers and their allies agreed on Sunday to cut production by 9.7mn barrels per day, which some analysts feared would not be enough to stem the damage from the combination of plunging demand amid the coronavirus pandemic and a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia.

“Having been involved in the negotiations, to put it mildly, the number that Opec+ is looking to cut is 20 Million Barrels a day, not the 10 Million that is generally being reported,” Trump tweeted.

“Thank you to all of those who worked with me on getting this very big business back on track, in particular Russia and Saudi Arabia.”

The US benchmark WTI oil price climbed 1.4% in New York after Trump’s tweet to $23.10, while Brent rose 0.9% to $31.76. Opec members and other producers led by Russia have been negotiating a deal to cut production and support prices for days.

Mexico balked at an agreement on Friday, leading Trump to step in and say the US would help Mexico meet its end of the bargain.

After a Sunday videoconference, the top producers agreed to slash daily production by 9.7mn barrels from May, according to Mexican Energy Minister Rocio Nahle, down from the 10mn barrels a day envisioned earlier.

Opec Secretary General Mohamed Barkindo called the cuts “historic”.

“They are largest in volume and the longest in duration, as they are planned to last for two years,” he said.

The agreement between the Vienna-based Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-Opec producers foresees deep output cuts in May and June followed by a gradual rise in production until April 2022.

Trump cheered the agreement on Sunday, calling it a “great deal for all” and saying it would “save hundreds of thousands of energy jobs in the United States.”

With countries putting their populations under lockdown, the coronavirus pandemic has caused an economic decline, with a global demand slump that has sent oil prices to two-decade lows.

Meanwhile, Russia and Saudi Arabia ramped up output in a price war to hold on to market share and undercut US shale producers.

Calling Trump’s tweet “aspirational,” analyst Andy Lipow said the market reaction to the Opec+ deal has been “muted,” as uncertainty remains over the degree to which producers will comply with the cuts.

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