Despite the year-on-year increase, July exports are projected to decline by 10% compared to June 2025, when shipments reached 13.48 million tons. This slowdown is attributed to a shift in focus toward corn exports during the latter half of the year. Brazil’s agricultural sector continues to balance its export priorities to meet global demand efficiently.
Analysts anticipate that 85% of Brazil’s soybean exports in the second half of 2025 will be destined for China, underscoring the strong trade relationship between the two nations. Total soybean exports for 2025 are estimated to reach 64.95 million tons, driven by high production and steady international demand.
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Foreign Agricultural Service projects Brazil’s soybean planted area to expand to 49.1 million hectares in the 2025/26 season, a 3% increase from the previous year. Additionally, soybean crushing is expected to reach 58 million tons, supporting domestic demand for soybean oil and meal, particularly in the biodiesel and livestock feed sectors.
A representative from ANEC stated: “Brazil’s soybean exports continue to grow, supported by record production and strong global demand. We are optimizing logistics to ensure efficient delivery to key markets like China while balancing corn export schedules.”
Brazil’s ability to scale production is reinforced by investments in agricultural research and infrastructure, particularly in the Central-West region, which accounts for nearly half of the country’s grain output. The USDA notes that favorable planting conditions and technological advancements contribute to the optimistic outlook for the 2025/26 season, with production potentially reaching 173 million tons.
The sustained growth in Brazil’s soybean sector highlights its critical role in global agricultural trade. By leveraging expanded acreage and efficient supply chains, Brazil continues to meet rising demand from major markets, ensuring a steady contribution to the nation’s trade balance and global food security.
